What will happen to ‘Yoon Seok-yeol’s future’? unification? hold on?

Declining opinion polls
Dissolution of the predecessor, a light act
Kim Jong-in and Lee Jun-seok break up
2030 Voting courtship is a contradiction
Unification or Endurance Options

People’s Strength presidential candidate Yoon Seok-yeol closes his eyes in the elevator after arriving at the office in Yeouido, Yeongdeungpo-gu, Seoul on the 5th. joint photo shoot

On the 5th, Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate for People’s Strength, broke up with Kim Jong-in, the general election chairman. It has been two weeks since I ordered Chairman Kim Jong-in on December 22 last year to “hold a strong grip on the former captain.” What happened in between? Nothing happened. The poll’s approval rating has only gone down a bit. The results of the opinion poll published as the headline article on January 3 were 39.4% for Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung and 29.9% for Yoon candidate. The subtitle was ‘The 2030 vote has turned around’. The headline on the front page was ‘Lee Jae-myung 39.9%, Yoon Seok-yeol 30.2%’ (refer to the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee). Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon, who values ​​the so-called major media, seems to have done the same. All schedules have been suspended. And after many twists and turns, he finally decided to break up with Chairman Kim Jong-in. The power of a politician is the power to endure. You have to be able to endure like a mountain in an unfavorable situation to be able to do politics. All the big politicians in the past were like that. Candidate Jae-myung Lee also managed to break through the unfavorable situation until recently by silently persevering. Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon’s judgment and choice this time is too light. In any case, Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon chose the adventure of sudden change. If it is the right choice, the ship called People’s Power led by Captain Yun Seok-yeol will take center stage and cruise. If you make the wrong choice, your boat will turn over. What will happen? Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon explained to reporters on the same day, “Now, we will carry out the presidential campaign by involving many young people in their 2030s, especially those in their 30s.” The reason for the dissolution of the existing predecessor group was set as a youth-centered campaign. The diagnosis of youth defection as the cause of the crisis is reasonable. Kwon Young-se, a member of the People’s Power, who took over as the new head of the Election Countermeasures Headquarters, appeared in the press room of the National Assembly in a hurry this afternoon. “I’m not ready, but I came out to say hello,” he said. He went around the booths where the reporters were staying and lowered his posture by saying, “Please take good care of me.” He is a bright and experienced politician in practice. If the election countermeasures headquarters under the general manager Kwon Young-se system works properly and the ‘2030 public sentiment’ returns, then candidate Yoon Seok-yeol can seize a chance again. However, it seems unlikely that the ‘2030 public mind’, which has begun to turn its back on candidate Yoon Seok-yeol, will return immediately. In a poll of people in their 20s and 30s, Yun Seok-yeol’s support fell to a level similar to that of Ahn Cheol-soo, the People’s Party candidate. In fact, in Power of the People, the only politicians who have appeal to 2030 voters are Chairman Lee Jun-seok, Chairman Kim Jong-in, and Rep. Hong Jun-pyo, who were eliminated from the primary. The three people are believers in the so-called ‘generation alliance theory’, which states that the alliance between the older generation in their 60s and older voters in their 20s and 30s and young voters in their 20s and 30s can win the presidential election by oppressing the ‘4050 voters’. On the other hand, Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon and the people’s power are adherents of the ‘anti-Moon solidarity theory’, which requires that the ‘anti-Moon Jae-in forces’ must be gathered to push the regime change theory with overwhelming public opinion. Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon practically parted ways with Chairman Kim Jong-in and Representative Lee Jun-Seok, while Rep. Hong Jun-pyo was also dismissive and wanted to win 2030 votes. It is a dangerous situation that could accelerate the departure of the middle class, including 2030, with the disbandment of the predecessor group. If support does not rise again, it seems that there are not many options left for candidate Yoon Seok-yeol. First, unification with Candidate Ahn Cheol-soo. Even at the risk of defeat, if you push forward with the unification of candidates, the cause of regime change is saved anyway. If they win the unification of the candidates, they could try to make a comeback in the last minute in the March 9 presidential election. Conservative voters in Korea do not give up on elections easily. In the 1997 presidential election, held during the financial crisis, he overwhelmingly cast votes for Lee Hoi-chang. During the 2004 general election, which was held amid headwinds of President Roh Moo-hyun’s impeachment, 121 seats were awarded to the Grand National Party due to Chairman Chung Dong-young’s disparaging remarks on the elderly. Second, just hold on to the end. Even if we lose the March 9 presidential election, the power of the people does not disappear. The local elections on June 1st are also to be held. A defeated presidential candidate could become the new political leader of the opposition party. President Lee Hoi-chang, who lost the 1997 presidential election, was like that, and President Moon Jae-in, who lost the 2012 presidential election, was like that. Rep. Hong Jun-pyo, who lost the 2017 presidential election, did the same. Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon can do the same. The People’s Power Advisory Council issued a statement on the same day. “I strongly urge you to do your best to rebuild the predecessor, with the determination to resign as the leader of the party, candidates, and members of the National Assembly, defining the current state of affairs that has reached the level of de facto dissolution of the predecessor committee as a crisis of the existence of the party.” It is interesting that he even mentioned the possibility of the resignation of candidate Yoon Seok-yeol. However, it is unlikely that there will be scenes in which Candidate Seok-Yeol Yoon voluntarily resigns or the power of the people removes candidate Yoon Seok-Yeol. This is because the power of the people does not have enough internal driving force. By Sung Han-yong, senior staff reporter [email protected]



Reference-www.hani.co.kr

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