[한겨레] Multilateral match, Lee Jae-myung 32.6% – Yoon Seok-yeol 38.8% – Ahn Cheol-soo 10.8%

[대선 D-30] Presidential candidate suitability survey
Shim Sang-jung 2.9%… The profit-profit gap widens more than in November of last year

In a poll held about a month before the 20th presidential election on the 9th of next month, it was found that the approval ratings of Democratic Party presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung and People’s Strength presidential candidate Yoon Seok-yeol were competing within the margin of error. However, the gap between the two candidates was found to be wider than in the survey conducted in November of last year, 100 days before the presidential election. As a result of a request by K-Stat Research, a polling company, on the 3rd or 4th, right after the Lunar New Year holiday, 1,000 adults across the country asked which candidate they would vote for (confidence level of 95%, sampling error ±3.1% points), and this candidate was 32.6% of candidates and Yoon’s 38.8% were counted. The gap in approval ratings between the two candidates was 6.2 percentage points, wider than the gap (1.7 percentage points) in the previous survey conducted 100 days before the election (released on November 29, last year). Candidate Lee fell 1.8 percentage points from the previous survey, and candidate Yoon rose 2.7 percentage points. Next, Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the People’s Party, recorded 10.8 percent, more than double that of the previous survey (4.3 percent). On the other hand, Justice Party presidential candidate Shim Sang-jung took 2.9 percent, down 2.8 percentage points from the previous survey. The rate of ‘there is no candidate for support’ or did not respond was 13.6%, similar to the previous survey. In addition, the gap between Candidate Yoon (42.6%) and Candidate Lee (34.7%) in the ‘active voters’ with strong voting intentions widened by 7.9 percentage points. The probability of winning was 35.3% for Candidate Lee and 45.1% for Candidate Yoon. Even among those who answered ‘there is no candidate for support’, Yoon’s probability of winning (33.5%) was higher than that of Candidate Lee (22.7%). By region, candidate Lee’s approval ratings rose only in Daejeon, Chungcheong, Sejong, and Gangwon and Jeju, while Yoon showed an upward trend in all regions except Gwangju and Jeolla and Gangwon and Jeju. In Seoul, Candidate Yun recorded 42.8%, Candidate Lee 29.1%, in Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam, Candidate Yoon recorded 46.2% and Candidate Lee 26.4%, widening the gap, with Candidate Lee’s ‘political hometown’ Gyeonggi (Incheon) In Gyeonggi), Candidate Yoon recorded 37.1% and Candidate Lee 33.2%. In this presidential election, 47.7% of the respondents said that they should vote for the opposition candidates to judge the operation of the state. On the other hand, 37.5% of the respondents answered that ‘for the stable operation of the state government, we must vote for the ruling party candidate’. This is also a trend toward adjudication of state affairs, with the gap widening 5.7 percentage points more than the gap between the theory of adjudication on state affairs (46.5%) and the theory of state stability (42.0%) at the time of the last survey. Reporter Kim Mina [email protected]



Reference-www.hani.co.kr

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